Tumanako me te hokohoko i runga i te utu kararehe

Ko te moni waenga mo te Casino tikanga i roto i te nui rite anake ki te tukua o whakawhitinga i runga i Wall Street. roa kua iwi Smart kitenga e kore e taea e tetahi whakawhirinaki tonu i runga i tou waimarie me kua tīmata te whakamahi i ngā tikanga tauanga ki te whiwhi i te pūmautanga o ona moni.

whiwhi Casino te nui nui, no te te "tūponotanga" ranei, i roto i te kupu atu, ko te tumanako o te kēmu i te taha o te whare petipeti. Na ahakoa o e kēmu ki te whai wāhi, e maoro, i muri ka riro i te Casino. hua Casino tipu noa tere, ki te whānuitanga o te kēmu ko te hunga e hua i roto i te wā ngā tere - huira, craps ranei atu kāri.

whakaaro ahau tetahi kaihokohoko ki angitu i roto i te mahi e tika ana ki te whakaoti i te whāinga tino nui e toru:

1. Me whakarite e nui te maha o ngā whakawhitinga angitu hape mooni me miscalculations.

2. Whakaritea tō pūnaha hokohoko kia e ki te whai wāhi whiwhi rite nui rite i taea.

3. Hei whakatutuki i ngā hua pai pūmau o ona ngā mahi.

Na kaihokohoko konei mahi matou, te tauturu pai taea e te tumanako. Tenei wā i roto i te ariā tūponotanga ko tetahi o te kī. Ka taea te whakamahi i te reira ki te hoatu i te tata Pine etahi uara tupurangi. Ko te tumanako pāngarau o te taurangi matapōkere, rite te pokapū o te mahara, ki te whakaaro tatou ira tūponotanga taea katoa ki papatipu rerekē.

Ki te whakaaro ki te rautaki hokohoko ki te aromatawai i tona whai huatanga whakamahi maha te tumanako o te pai (ngaronga ranei). takoto ana tēnei tawhā te rite te moni o ngā hua o hua me te parekura i tohua taumata me ratou tūponotanga tupu. Hei tauira, fokotu'u te rautaki hokohoko whakawhanakehia e ka kawea 37% o ngā whakawhitinga katoa pai, me te toenga - 63% - ka e pai. I te wa ano, i te moni toharite o te hoko angitu ko $ 7, ka he rite ki te 1.4 tara te mate toharite. tātai tatou i te tumanako o te hokohoko o te pūnaha taua:

MO = 7 x 0.37 + (0.63 x (-1.4)) = 2.59 - 0.882 = 1.708

He aha te mea tenei tau? ta te reira e, e whai ake nei i nga ture o te pūnaha, i toharite ka riro tatou 1.708 tara i ia tauwhitinga kati.

Mai te hua aro mātai o nui ake i te kore, ka taea te whakamahi katoa he pūnaha taua mo te mahi tūturu. Ki te te hua o te tātai i te tumanako o te fariiraa i te kino, ngā korero kua reira e pā ana ki te mate toharite, me te taua hokohoko ka arahi ki te whakangaromanga.

kia hoki kia faaite te nui o te pai ia tauwhitinga me te uara whanaunga i roto i te puka o te%. Hei tauira:

• ōrau o te moni mo te 1 mahi - 5%;
• ōrau o ngā mahi hokohoko angitu - 62%;
• ōrau mate ia tauwhitinga 1 - 3%;
• te ōrau o te ngaro ringarehe - 38%;

I roto i tenei take, te nui tumanako (5% x 62% - 3% x 38%) / 100 = (310% - 114%) / 100 = 1.96%. Ko, hopoi mai te tauwhitinga toharite 1.96%.

Ko taea ki te whakawhanake i tētahi pūnaha e ahakoa te nuinga o te ngaro ringarehe ka hoatu he hua pai, no te mea i tona MO> 0.

Heoi, he torutoru tūmanako. He uaua ki te hanga, ki te homai te pūnaha tohu hokohoko iti rawa. I roto i tenei take, e tukua reira i rite nei ki te pēke moni. Kia ia mahi whakarato i te toharite o 0.5 anake tara, engari he aha te mea titau te pūnaha 1000 ngā mahi ia tau? Ko te nui rawa nui i roto i te wa poto ngā tenei. whai reira arorau e taea te whakaaro tetahi atu āhuatanga o te pūnaha hokohoko pai te tūranga mau wā-poto.

Ki te hiahia koe matauranga hohonu ki te pāngarau o tupono, kite aha te tumanako herenga, ngā āputa māia , me ētahi atu taputapu ngā, e faaite tatou i te tai'oraa i te pukapuka "Tatauranga mō Traders" (kaituhi S.Bulashev). Ko wai e matau ana, pea hokohoko hepohepo moni i muri i te pānui i te pukapuka, ka whakaatu koe tika te puka teitei o kia ...