Kore mahi me te Ture o Okun

Kei te takoha kore mahi kore mahi mahi, puta rite ki te hua o te taurite tuhitia tonu i waenganui i te supply me te tono i runga i te mākete mahi. Ka taea te tāutuhia reira taua whakatu a ona whakaaro, kia rite ki te tuku noa (waku), hanganga, huritaiāwhio, hangarau, kaupeka, me ētahi atu huna.

Nā ki ngā āhuatanga, e kore te mea tonu te taumata o te auau kore mahi e pā ana te take, no te mea te kore mahi huna (i roto i tēnei kāwai hoki ngā käinga mai i ngā rohe apiapi) i runga i te tauine tawhiti nui atu te tahi atu momo katoa. I te wa ano, e kore e tangohia tatauranga e pā ana ki te pūkete i te maha o tangata kore mahi nei mutu rapu mō mahi (kore e kia rēhita i te utu mahi), me te hunga e kore e nei hiahia ana ki te mahi (pēnei iwi e pā ana ki 1-2 miriona i roto i te whenua nui o te mākete whakawhanakehia ). Ēnei iwi e kore noa e te tīariari mo te tatauranga e pā ana. pānga tenei katoa te kōrero nui o te kore mahi.

Ko te faufaa o te tātaitanga o te auau kore mahi. whakatau tata ana tēnei nui te ki te whakatau i te nui ngaro ki te ōhanga Hua Domestic motu i roto i te hononga ki reira. No te economists, faaite ture a Okun te backlog o GDP tūturu i tona uara pea.

rahua American pūtaiao A. Oukenu ki te whakamatau i te oraraa o te hononga i waenganui i te rōrahi o te hua katoa, me te kore mahi. ka mohiotia tenei hononga rite te ture o Okun. E ai ki tenei ture, he inversely hautanga ki te maha o te iwi kore mahi i roto i te whenua te hōkai o te hua motu. Ki te tupu o te kore mahi i te 1% te uara o te GDP tūturu iti e te iti rawa 2%. Mai te kore mahi māori he mooni, me he pūmau, mo te tātai o te rōrahi hua motu backlog whakaaro anake kore mahi nui. Tenei tirohanga whakamutunga, i te ara, he angamaheni mo te whenua ake whakawhanakehia i tenei ra.

Hei aromatawai i te taumata o te kore mahi tūturu manakohia ki te tango i te uara rite ki te 6% o te tapeke o te iwi taea marohirohi. I mua, e pā ana ki 30-35 matahiti i teie nei, i takoto ia ki 3%, e fokotuu e kua nui haere mahi nekeneke (arata'i tenei ki te hua i roto i te kore mahi tūao) me NTP rate nui haere (faarahi te reira i kore mahi hanganga). I roto i to tatou wa, ko te nuinga o runga ake i te auau tūturu, ārahi nei, kia rite ki te ture a Okun, ki te mate o te GDP o te mākete whenua te auau kore mahi katoa.

I te wa ano, whakaatu Ture a Okun he hononga kōaro. Ko te matü o te reira ko e, i raro ki te hua ā-tau i roto i te hua motu i te iti rawa 2.7% o te maha o te iwi kore mahi, ka waiho i te taua, me te kore e nui uara tūturu. Ko te kupu, ki te kore e taea e te tawhā macroeconomic hinga i te toru ōrau arai, kei te tipu haere te auau kore mahi i roto i te whenua.

Me kï reira e kore ko te ture o Okun te tikanga tino, e tino whakamana ana i raro i tetahi mau huru. 'I hono kehé, ko reira he au e kua hoki ia whenua me te wā o whāititanga wā.

He te hopearaa tōraro e whai ake nei Rising kore mahi: i reira he underutilization, mimiti haere te wāriu o te pūmanawa mahi o te whenua, kei te taumaha te kounga o te ora, te whakanui ake i te pēhanga ki runga ki te uara o te utu, te whakanui ake moni tūmatanui i runga i te huringa o te mahi tohutohu ranei whakanohonoho tūnga ngaio, te maha o nga he.

Ko te āhuatanga matua e pā te auau kore mahi, he rite whai:

- whakahaere me te ohaoha - te āhua o te hanganga mākete, mahi, te huri puka whakahaere, me te ture o te rōpū, me hinonga, hokotanga, huringa hanganga i roto i te ōhanga;

- Ohaoha - pikinga me utu, te tere o te haaputuputuraa, te āhua i roto i nei te mahi haumi, pūnaha pūtea me te nama, me te hanga motu;

- hangarau me te ōhanga - tere NTP, te ōwehenga o te supply me te hiahia i roto i ngā rāngai rerekē o te mākete mahi, huringa hanganga i roto i te ōhanga;

- tatauranga iwi - fertility, te tahuti nei, tau, me te hanganga sex o te taupori, te ora ngā, tohutohu, me ngā rōrahi o rerenga hekenga.