Tikanga forecasting

Ko te tikanga o te fariiraa i karanga matatini, e tohu ana i te huinga whakahau o tikanga ohie, e kua hāngai ana ki te whanaketanga o te matapae whānui. Ko reira ano hoki te ara e puta mai ana i te matauranga o nga tauira tino noa, me te whakamahia ki te whakatutuki i te whāinga.

tikanga matapae ko te huinga motuhake o tikanga e nei e kawea te ngā mahi i roto i prognostic, ka nanao te tukatuka raraunga i runga i te heke mai.

Ko te ako o enei tikanga, ka whai wāhi i roto i pekanga hāngai ratou complexes. Forecasting Tikanga whakarōpūtia rite ki ngā kāwai motuhake. Na, tohatoha tautuhinga whāinga, wawe, whakamahere, whakaritenga, me te ake.

whakaaro whanaketanga Tikanga matapae te ki kia tīpakohia te huinga motuhake o ngā tikanga me ngā tūāhua te matakite.

huaina te pūnaha ko te huinga whakahau o taputapu hangarau, tikanga. Ko reira hāngai ki ngā tukanga matatini me ari.

Technique i huaina matapae puka ngā o te huarahi mahi ariā ranei ki te hanganga o te matapae. Tenei ko te kotahi (ranei atu) he pāngarau ranei mahi arorau, e whai ana ki te whiwhi i te tetahi hua.

Philosopho Bazarov (Ore) i roto i te tau 1927 whakaarohia e toru tikanga: āwhīwhiwhi, tauira tātari me te tohungatanga. I teie mahana, i reira e pā ana ki e rua rau e rua tekau kaupae. A, no te whakamahia tenei te i roto i te mahi kaua e nui ake o ratou kotahi tekau. I roto ia ratou, i roto i ngā, kia tuhia reira meka (āwhiwhiwhi, āwhīwhiwhi, tātari au), tānga, momona, citationality-taupū, tikanga kopu o forecasting. Applied whakatauira hoki, hanga o talanoa, ngā tūtohi, me te tahi atu mau mea. nohoia te wahi motuhake e te tikanga matakite tohunga.

He hoki tikanga hou. Ko te kupu, hei tauira, emit:

1. tikanga forecasting urutau. ngā ratou te hanga o te hohokitanga (hoki mai) tauira whaiaro-te huri i e e taea ki te whakaata i te āhuatanga hihiri me te huri tau ki te raupapa wa, tango ki pūkete te uara mōhiohio o taua mema o roto i te wa.

2. whakamātautau morphological. Kei te whakamahia te reira no te whai wāhitanga tīpako tōkeke me te pūnahanaha e pā ana ki rangahau forecasting.

3. Retroalternativistiku.

4. E whakarato ana te tikanga mo te hanganga o "rakau whāinga". Kei te whakamahia tēnei tikanga mō te aromatawai o ngā wāhanga ture noa.

5. whakamahere Horopaki.

6. Ko te tikanga o te take me te pānga. Tenei pūrere Ko tata ki te ūnga raruraru-tikanga.

7. matapae Combined. Ko tā te tikanga te whakamahi o etahi aromatawai whakarāpopoto whiwhi e te i runga i te pūtake o te whakakotahi haurangi tūmataiti motuhake ōkawa ōpaki ranei, mā te tāpiri ratou, te tikanga ki te āhuatanga taimaha motuhake.

whakaaro ana tēnei whakarōpū te ki kia tino herenga. Ko te tika tenei te nuinga ki te meka e tata katoa tikanga matakite kīnaki tahi i te tahi, tahi rīpeka. Hei tauira, kei nga wa katoa te aromatawai āhuatanga o te whakatauira, me te āwhīwhiwhi. I roto i tenei take, he feruri waho te wāhanga whakatauira me te aro mātai i te whakamutunga. Heoi, whakarato te whaihanga mō ngā tūemi e roto i te tahi atu tikanga forecasting.

I roto i te tātaritanga o te ahanoa ko reira maha e tika ana ki te kawe i roto i te ako o te kore tetahi engari e rave rahi o ona tohu. I roto i tenei ahua e taea tetahi matapae ki te awhina o te tikanga, i te tahi atu - te whakamahi i tino rerekē. Ko te kupu, kia ahanoa kotahi e tono e rave rahi taime.

He hoki tikanga o matakite pūtea. ngā ratou tikanga hāngai, me te autaki. I roto i te mahi whakamahere, rite ki te tikanga, kei te whakamahia ara e rua.